Obama's approval ratings, at 43%, are not stellar, but at the same time not dismal. Bush's ratings were only a bit higher when he got reelected back in 2004, but then left office at a meager 25%. And I think Obama has nowhere to go but up. With the troops coming home, for example, people are going to be focusing on the fact that it got done, not how long it took, until later. It's clear Obama's been taking a different approach towards things. He's become more aggressive as the election peeks up over the horizon. It's ironic; he's becoming more confrontational when the GOP's top guy, Gingrich, is known for being confrontational.
In general, Obama's odds look good. Mainly out of lack of opposition. Gingrich, while he looks strong for now, has skeletons in his closet that, due to his lantern hanging, haven't been blowouts in the news like Cain's misdeeds have. That, along with his leanings away from the center, hurt his chances at winning over that vast middle/undecided section of America. Romney would still have a better chance at that policy-wise, but he can't even get the people who ARE paying attention to policy to get excited about him, let alone the masses. I would say Obama's got just over a 50% chance at this point. But I hope he's still got some aces up his sleeve to whip out as the election draws nearer, then it would be a done deal.
No comments:
Post a Comment